Business cycles : theory, history, indicators and forecasting /
| Autor principal: | |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Libro |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Chicago :
University of Chicago Press,
1996.
|
| Colección: | Studies in business cycles ;
27 |
| Materias: |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Pte. 1. Theories and evidence. 1. Macroeconomics and business cycles: an overview.
- 2. Recent work on business cycles in historical perspective.
- 3. Facts and factors in the modern evolution of U.S. economic fluctuations.
- 4. Cyclical aspects of cost and price movements.
- 5. Research during the first 50 years of the National Bureau.
- Pte. 2. History and measurement. 6. How trends and fluctuations are observed, modeled, and simulated: an introduction.
- 7. Business cycles and growth.
- 8. The regularity of business cycles.
- 9. Econometric model simulations and the cyclical characteristics of the economy.
- Pte. 3. Indicators. 10. Cyclical indicators: structure, significance, and uses.
- 11. Composite indexes of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators.
- 12. Major macroeconomic variables and leading indexes / Phillip Braun.
- Pte. 4. Forecasting. 13. On short-term predictions of general economic conditions.
- 14. An analysis of annual and multiperiod quarterly aggregate forecasts.
- 15. The accuracy of individual and group forecasts.
- 16. Rational expectations and macroeconomic forecasts.
- 17. Consensus and uncertainty in economic prediction / Louis A. Lambros.
- 18. The record and improvability of economic forecasting.