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|a Zarnowitz, Victor,
|d 1919-2009
|9 73596
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| 245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Business cycles :
|b theory, history, indicators and forecasting /
|c Victor Zarnowitz.
|
| 260 |
|
|
|a Chicago :
|b University of Chicago Press,
|c 1996.
|
| 300 |
|
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|a xvii, 593 p. :
|b graf. ;
|c 23 cm.
|
| 490 |
0 |
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|a Studies in business cycles ;
|v 27
|
| 504 |
|
|
|a Incluye referencias bibliográficas (p. [535]-576) e índice.
|
| 505 |
0 |
|
|a Pte. 1. Theories and evidence. 1. Macroeconomics and business cycles: an overview. -- 2. Recent work on business cycles in historical perspective. -- 3. Facts and factors in the modern evolution of U.S. economic fluctuations. -- 4. Cyclical aspects of cost and price movements. -- 5. Research during the first 50 years of the National Bureau. -- Pte. 2. History and measurement. 6. How trends and fluctuations are observed, modeled, and simulated: an introduction. -- 7. Business cycles and growth. -- 8. The regularity of business cycles. -- 9. Econometric model simulations and the cyclical characteristics of the economy. -- Pte. 3. Indicators. 10. Cyclical indicators: structure, significance, and uses. -- 11. Composite indexes of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators. -- 12. Major macroeconomic variables and leading indexes / Phillip Braun. -- Pte. 4. Forecasting. 13. On short-term predictions of general economic conditions. -- 14. An analysis of annual and multiperiod quarterly aggregate forecasts. -- 15. The accuracy of individual and group forecasts. -- 16. Rational expectations and macroeconomic forecasts. -- 17. Consensus and uncertainty in economic prediction / Louis A. Lambros. -- 18. The record and improvability of economic forecasting.
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| 590 |
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|a Consultar la disponibilidad del material en formato digital en la Biblioteca EEyN.
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| 595 |
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|d 1034
|e 21/12/2004
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|a Ciclo económico
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