A treatise on probability /

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Keynes, John Maynard, 1883-1946
Format: Buch
Sprache:Inglés
Veröffentlicht: New York : Harper Torchbooks, 1962.
Schriftenreihe:The science library
Schlagworte:
Inhaltsangabe:
  • 1. The meaning of probability.
  • 2. Probability in relation to the theory of knowledge.
  • 3. The measurement of probabilities.
  • 4. The principle of indifference.
  • 5. Other methods' of determining probabilities.
  • 6. The weight of arguments.
  • 7. Historical retrospect.
  • 8. The frequency theory of probability.
  • 9. The constructive theory of part I. summarized.
  • 10. Introductory.
  • 11. The theory of groups, with special reference to logical consistence, inference and logical priority.
  • 12. The definitions and axioms of inference and probability.
  • 13. The fundamental theorems of necessary inference.
  • 14. The fundamental theorems of probable inference.
  • 15. Numerical measurement and approximation of probabilities.
  • 16. Observations on the theorems of chapter 14 and their developments, inclundg testimony.
  • 17. Some problems in inverse Probability, including Averages.
  • 18. Introduction.
  • 19. The Nature of Argument by analogy.
  • 20. The value of multiplication of instances, or pure induction.
  • 21. The nature of inductive argument continued.
  • 22. The justification of these methods.
  • 23. Some historical notes on induction.
  • 24. The meanings of objective chance, and of randomness.
  • 25. Some problems arising out of the discussion of chance.
  • 26. The application of probability to conduct.
  • 27. The nature of statistical inference.
  • 28. The law of great numbers.
  • 29. The use of a priori probabilities for the prediction of statistical frequency - the theorems of Bernoulli, Poisson, and Tchebycheff.
  • 30. The mathematical use of statistical frequencies for the determination of probability a posteriori - the methods of laplace.
  • 31. The inversion of Bernoulli´s Theorem.
  • 32. The inductive use of statistical frequencies for the determination of probability a posteriori - the Methods of Lexis.
  • 33. Outline of a constructive theory.